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An early look at how the Kavanaugh vote affected Susan Collins’ approval rating — Daily Brief — Bangor Daily News — BDN Maine

As the decision loomed, anti-Kavanaugh demonstrators weighed on Collins’ staff — Politics — Bangor Daily News — BDN Maine

Tristan Spinski | The Washington Publish

Tristan Spinski | The Washington Submit

Marilyn Sarelas, 71, of Portland, Maine, joins a crowd of demonstrators protesting the nomination of Brett M. Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Courtroom at a Thursday rally throughout the road from the Portland workplace of Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine).

By Alex Acquisto, BDN Employees •
November 9, 2018 eight:59 am

Up to date: November 9, 2018 10:28 am

Good morning from Augusta, the place a brand new survey of Maine voter opinions by a nationwide political pulse taker exhibits a swing in help for Maine’s senior U.S. senator.

A key October vote on the newest Supreme Courtroom nominee solidified help amongst Republicans as Democrats expressed disgust. After U.S. Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, turned the controversial deciding vote to verify U.S. Supreme Courtroom Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who was alleged to have sexually assaulted Christine Blasey Ford, many questioned how that call would have an effect on her political standing amongst constituents, particularly Democrats. A brand new Morning Seek the advice of report provides us a little bit of perception. Morning Seek the advice of polled 945 registered Maine voters between Oct. 6 and Nov. 6, then in contrast these outcomes with what had been collected from greater than 2,000 Maine voters between July 1 and Sept. 25 for its third-quarter replace.

Predictably, the centrist Republican’s place appears to have undercut her standing amongst Democrats and bolstered her social gathering constituents. In the month after Kavanaugh, Collins noticed virtually a internet 48-point loss in her approval rating from Democrats. General, from one month to the subsequent, 39 % of Democrats disapproved of her job efficiency earlier than the vote, in contrast with 63 after. Republicans’ approval scores earlier than and after jumped from 47 % to 68 %. In a response to the report, Collins spokeswoman Annie Clark stated, “Sen. Collins is very grateful for the incredible support she has received from Mainers over the years, and she continues to work hard every day on their behalf.”

Approval scores now shouldn’t be perceived as a transparent indicator of her re-election possibilities. Barring main shifts between now and 2020, when Collins can be up for re-election if she chooses to run once more, her Kavanaugh vote reduces the probability that she would face a critical main problem from the proper. Whereas her vote towards repealing the Reasonably priced Care Act and her common help for abortion rights have irritated a few of Maine’s extra conservative Republicans in the previous, her standing as the get together’s most influential workplace holder stays unchallenged, particularly as Gov. Paul LePage is getting ready to go away workplace — and the state.

However sustained disapproval from independents and Democrats might create issues in the basic election, particularly if voters are mobilized to repudiate President Donald Trump and fellow Republicans. Whereas this drop in approval could seem substantial now, it’s unlikely to maintain itself lengthy sufficient to stymie her possibilities if she runs for re-election, nevertheless it might make her path more durable. From 2008 to 2014, her margin of victory broadened from 23 factors to 36 factors, partially as a result of she secured votes from left-leaning independents.

In essence, the Morning Seek the advice of survey confirms what we anticipated. Collins gained again help from some Republicans who had drifted away, in all probability nudged by previous LePage criticism of her average stances, whereas she angered Democrats and voters who in all probability would have been unlikely to again her in 2020 anyway. The demographic to observe throughout the subsequent two years might be independents. And whereas it’s enjoyable to take a position about future elections, it’s little greater than a fantasy league train till we’ve got a clearer image of which Democrat would oppose her in the basic election. With Janet Mills’ win in the governor’s race on Tuesday, Democrats have now at least damaged their 12-year dropping streak in statewide elections. However whether or not the technique that propelled them to that win might be tailored to a critical problem towards Collins stays to be seen.

Studying record

Newly elected Maine senators picked their leaders. Republicans, who will drop into minority standing in the 129th Legislature after 4 years as the higher chamber’s majority social gathering, selected Sen. Dana Dow of Waldoboro and Sen.-elect Jeff Timberlake of Turner to be their leaders. Democrats stated that Sen. Troy Jackson of Allagash was operating unopposed of their caucus to grow to be Senate president and Sens. Nate Libby of Lewiston and Eloise Vitelli of Arrowsic ran unopposed for majority chief and assistant majority chief, respectively.

A former Maine legislator was discovered responsible Wednesday of stealing $three.5 million from two aged widows. Robert Kenneth Lindell Jr., 53, of Cloverdale, California was convicted of theft by unauthorized taking, a securities violation in reference to the alleged fraud, three counts of theft of federal revenue tax funds, and 5 counts every of intentional evasion of revenue tax and failure to pay Maine revenue tax. The previous legislator from Frankfort has requested a brand new trial and will probably be held in Penobscot County Jail whereas he awaits sentencing.

A Bangor Republican gained two elections this week. After securing a seat on the faculty committee, John Hiatt discovered Thursday that he had apparently eked out a win over incumbent Democrat Dan Tremble to win the county treasurer’s race. “I didn’t think I was going to win, but I had faith in the Republican Party’s turnout,” Hiatt stated Thursday. Tremble was first elected to the publish in 2006 and is serving his third time period. He ran for the place unopposed in 2010 and 2014. Tremble gained in Bangor and most surrounding cities, however smaller, extra rural cities voted for Hiatt. Right here is his soundtrack.

Waterville’s controversial mayor plans to problem a plastic bag ban that appeared to win voters’ approval on Tuesday. Mayor Nick Isgro, who earlier this yr staved off a recall vote after his Twitter feedback a few faculty capturing survivor drew native and nationwide scorn, stated in a Wednesday publish on Fb that he would probably problem the outcomes due to what he referred to as “faulty voter registrations.”

A state ferry payment hike that angered islanders will get a second look. After the Maine Division of Transportation adjusted its fee construction for ferries to Maine islands, the residents of Islesboro rebelled, taking the matter to courtroom amid arguments that the charge modifications unfairly burdened them. That authorized battle is now on maintain as state transportation officers have agreed to undergo one other rulemaking course of that may invite extra public touch upon the ferry price plan.

Security in numbers

A Massachusetts great-grandfather this week collected a $100,000 prize he gained by enjoying uniform variety of 5 members of the World Collection champion Boston Purple Sox on a lottery ticket.

Jim Aylward Jr., 84, gained the prize by enjoying the numbers of Purple Sox gamers Rafael Devers, Andrew Benintendi, Jackie Bradley Jr., Rick Porcello and World Collection MVP Steve Pearce.

What an uplifting story and applicable approach to hold reminding individuals — particularly Yankees followers — that the Pink Sox and profitable are a matched set. However it additionally spurred me to consider how uniform numbers might be used to advertise good somewhere else.

Like the Legislature.

How about giving every new legislator a workforce jersey on the day that lawmakers are sworn in? They have already got a quantity — from their district — so why not give them a jersey together with the license plate that shows that quantity? Wouldn’t that be a mild, productive option to promote bipartisanship?

The Legislative Council might decide a pleasant impartial colour scheme — no reds or blues — and every lawmaker might obtain a numbered jersey with a shade sample that displays the undeniable fact that, regardless of ideological and geographical variations, they’re all on the similar staff. The symbolism may construct goodwill in every chamber and ship a constructive message to constituents and the different branches of presidency. In fact, the Home and Senate must have totally different jersey colours so we will type out winners from losers after the annual fishing event.

Plus, it will save time by circumventing the “request permission that gentlemen be allowed to remove their jackets” throwback to outdated decorum and maybe create new merchandising alternatives. Look at how a lot cash the NFL makes by promoting jerseys with numbers and different individuals’s names on them to adoring followers. There won’t be as many adoring followers of Maine legislators, however a couple of trustworthy constituents might get issues began. Right here is your soundtrack. — Robert Lengthy

Programming notice

As a result of Monday is a federal vacation to watch Veterans Day, we won’t publish Daily Brief. We’ll return on Tuesday, Nov. 13. Thanks in your service.

Correction

In the Thursday e mail model of Daily Brief, I flubbed some historical past in the merchandise about voters’ penchant for turning over the keys of government workplaces to a unique celebration. Whereas it’s true that Republican Senate President Robert Haskell succeeded Ed Muskie as governor, it was solely on a really temporary interim foundation till Democrat Clinton Clauson, who gained the 1958 election, might be sworn in. Maine had 4 governors — alternating between Democrats and Republicans — in 1959, as Republican John Reed, who succeeded Haskell as Senate president, turned governor after Clauson’s demise and took workplace on Dec. 30. Reed subsequently gained elections to two-year phrases earlier than dropping to Democrat Ken Curtis in 1964. The partisan pendulum has been swinging ever since. I additionally neglected the H. in President George H.W. Bush’s identify. Be happy to vote me out. Right here is my repentant soundtrack. — Robert Lengthy

Right now’s Daily Brief was written by Alex Acquisto and Robert Lengthy. In case you’re studying this on the BDN’s web site or have been forwarded it, click on right here to obtain Maine’s main publication on state politics by way of e mail on weekday mornings. Click on right here to subscribe to the BDN.

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